Notes on "LOST" episodes after mid-season 3 break

This page contains notes on episodes 3.17 to the season finale... for notes on episodes 3.7 to 3.16, click here. 

3.17 Update

The object of this episode seemed to me to be that Desmond will eventually learn (or is supposed to learn) that the future is not as etched in stone as he's been led to believe.  For those of you who are able, check his "flashes" that occur at the beginning of the episode.  We begin with Charlie dying.  But when a flash is shown of them cutting the jumper down, Charlie is there helping hold the parachute that will catch her, which he wouldn't have been able to do if he'd been dead.  So Desmond saw flashes that included Charlie dead AND alive.  (Charlie was Schrödinger's cat, I guess you could say.)  Add to this that the episode is a classic example of a person who knows the future making the future because he knows it... AND add that in the flash Charlie didn't get to finish his thought:  "Shall we outfit Superman with kryptonite..." but when the actual event occurred, he was able to conclude, "ballet slippers", meaning Desmond did not see the event as it precisely was going to happen... well, I think the message is clear:  Desmond has choices.  And those choices matter.In this case, he did believe that he was given a choice as a test.  Take a step out and faith and allow Charlie to die, and then be rewarded by being reunited with the love of your life (hey, why not, Charlie's dead anyway, right?) or take God's prerogative away by saving Charlie AGAIN.  But it was obvious that, to Desmond, Penny was the object of value.  She was the thing that was demanded as sacrifice.  And Desmond believed that, by saving Charlie, he was offering her up.  But, lo, she wasn't the jumper.  She must still be safe.  And since he saw her in one of his flashes, there might still be a chance he'll see her again.Some other thoughts I had, actually, before watching 3.17:

Previously I’ve speculated that there may be an indigenous group on the island who the Dharma Initiative branded as “hostiles”. Mikhail claimed that the Dharma Initiative workers were wiped out, but perhaps he was mincing words. It seems obvious to me that the group that’s been called “the Others” have been continuing the work that was started by the DI (or, at the very least, they’ve been benefitting from it). But perhaps the reason Mikhail doesn’t think of himself or the rest of “the Others” as part of the Dharma Initiative is based on a technicality… perhaps the objective or the leadership of the project changed as a result of the “war” and, thus, the DI technically no longer exists. (That said, Mikhail did claim that the “sonic fencing” no longer worked when it clearly did, so he could just have been lying about everything he said.)

Let’s assume for the moment, though, that there was an insurgency against the original DI group and that it resulted in the DI ceasing to exist for all practical purposes.

One possible scenario that would fit these facts:

An indigenous group on the island that was, perhaps, cooperative at first with the DI later decided that the DI was a problem. Ben, then a teenager, rebelled against the DI and allied with the indigenous group in order to overthrow the project. “The Hostiles” were successful and this ended the DI as it existed up to that point, but Ben and his allies were still interested in a few of the DI studies and objectives. Having control of the island put Ben and his allies in an excellent bargaining position from which they could negotiate to acquire certain resources, including the continuation of the supply drops. Thus, even though the DI has technically ceased to exist, many of its functions continue.

The leader of the indigenous group might be Jacob. This group may control (or otherwise be connected to) the black smoke. Perhaps they are the reason the black smoke didn’t even try to go over the “sonic fence” when the monster was after Juliet and Kate.

It could be that, presently, the alliance between Ben and Jacob is not entirely stable. In the debate between science and faith, Ben strikes me as the science type, while I imagine that Jacob will be a “man of faith”. I don’t think the two groups are presently at war with one another, but I just have a hunch that if everything else I’m suggesting is correct, their relationship is a tense one.

I’m also wondering if Jacob is Ben’s twin. I imagine this has been suggested before.

It may follow from all of this that Ben and the rest of the Others have, presently, gone to see Jacob (or, at least, the natives of the island). As has been suggested by others on this site, and congruent with the idea that Jacob has a close connection with the smoke monster, Jacob’s group may dwell below ground, which is the easiest way to explain why the Others left no discernible trace when they abandoned their settlement.

If “science vs. faith” is the bedrock conflict of the show, as I assume it is, then these speculations could continue in a number of ways. A Ben vs. Jacob scenario could evolve (or just “Ben vs. indigenous people” if they are not, in fact, led by Jacob.) Or, in the end, the Others could represent faith while the survivors, led by Jack, represent science. At this point it’s difficult to say. But it does seem as though all of this is preparing for a final, almost apocalyptic conflict.

Other random thoughts:

--Ben seems very concerned with how many of “his people” there are. People are abducted (especially kids). Women are sacrificed in a quest for fertility. The death of one of his own is treated like a crime against all humanity. It’s been clear for some time that the Others are looking for people of a certain quality. But they also seem concerned with just how many of these people they have around.

In fact, could all of Ben’s elaborate machinations be an attempt to recruit people to his side? That seems to have been his goal in his interactions with Jack and John. Is he now attempting to recruit the rest of the survivors by planting Juliet on the beach?

These ideas make some sense when one admits that Ben could not have just politely asked the survivors to sign up to his cause. After all, he does need them to want to join him. It can’t be some half-hearted or superficially motivated commitment. He needs the real deal. And the mind games are the only way he can make it happen.

If any of this is true, why would having more people be so important to him? Because of a conflict he is currently engaged in? (He obviously sees himself as part of a conflict given his “we’re the good guys” stance, but is the conflict hot, cold, or figurative?) Or because of a truce he is wanting to break? Or is there some other reason?

--With all the speculation flying around regarding these two, I feel compelled to throw my ten cents in. (Darned inflation!)

First of all, John.

It seems to me that every experience John has had on the island has been a vindication against everything that happened to him off of it. All the things he believed he was before arriving on the island but that others denied, derided, or destroyed, he became fully on the island to a magnitude that none around him could deny. True, he still had to face one last test and he failed it. But I doubt he’s ever going to fail again. At this point John believes he has absolute proof for his faith. Proof that has come from success AND failure. Nothing else but his faith matters now. If following his faith happens to benefit Ben or the Others or whoever, then so be it. But John has no allegiance to the Others OR the crash survivors. His allegiance is to his gut. And his gut tells him everyone stays on the island. Even if you could prove to him that all of humanity depends upon him leaving the island, he’d just think it was another test and he would stand his ground.

Then Jack.

Right now Jack only cares about one thing: the survival and (hopefully) rescue of his people. His people are the crash survivors. Nothing is going to sway Jack from that desire, because nothing sways Jack from any desire that he has. I can’t think of a single thing that could be done to Jack or that could be told to Jack that would change his mind about this. Tell him the world will end if he doesn’t cooperate with the Others, show him undeniable proof, and he’ll just call it a lie and defy it.

As much as I’d like to see these two find a common ground somehow before the series ends, I don’t think it will be possible. People with such extreme points of view can only be flipped to the other extreme. They don’t know how to meet in the middle. (Seeing Jack and John switch roles would be very interesting, by the way.) Also, such people are fairly easy to manipulate since their most intense desires is so obvious and so stubbornly adhered to.

One way or another it does seem clear that these two are headed for a showdown. But if there’s a resolution, it will have to be instigated by a third person. And I think this is proper because in the science vs. faith debate the solution isn’t an issue of neither being right or somehow BOTH being right, but in realizing that the entire distinction is flawed, predicated upon a desire to control reality rather that cooperate with it. It’s a dualism that is contrary not only to Buddhism, but to just about every mystical school of thought.

(The show is good at revealing dualisms and then throwing them into question. Past and future. Free will and determinism. Self and other.)

So I guess I tend to think that these two are as resolved as ever in their particular spheres, Jack in science and John in faith. They likely will need to face-off eventually. And someone else will need to step in and actually resolve the issue by demonstrating that there was never an issue to begin with.

(Caveat: Jack and John may have conversed while in the Other's village and worked out a plan that would satisfy them both, and they are currently working together to make that plan work, unbeknownst to anyone else, including the audience. I think this solution would also be quite cool, but I’m not sure how likely it is.)

--Long before I ever watched Lost I looked it up online to see what all the buzz was about (couldn’t just tune in on TV… don’t have and don’t want one that does that :-). At the time, the only official site out there (and there weren’t a ton of unofficial ones) was a site that focused on the concept of “six degrees of separation”. I mean, the site almost made it look like this was the concept that informed the entire basis of the show. And now I understand that Mr. Abrams is preparing a show called “Six Degrees”. So… is there anything we can divine from the producer’s fascination with this concept?

Will the show ultimately point out that it’s silly for us to think certain coincidences are surprising or amazing since we’re all, after all, much more connected than we typically think?

Will the show ultimately point out that our deep connections AND our ignorance of such make us more vulnerable to manipulation than we realize?

Will the show ultimately point out that the fabric of humanity is so much more tightly woven than it looks that concepts like synchronicity and the collective unconscious shouldn’t strike us dancing on the fringes of fact?

The show could suggest any and even all of these things. What else might it suggest?

As you think about that, also consider this: The words “it’s just a coincidence” never constitute an explanation. They merely deny the need for one.

--Many of the characters in Lost have some thing they desire “more than anything”.

Juliet wants to get off the island more than anything.

Jack wants to rescue everyone more than anything.

Sayid wants the truth more than anything.

John wants to stay on the island more than anything.

Each one of these characters has shown that they will do anything to get the thing they want more than anything.

But consider Desmond and Hugo.

Desmond wants to be reunited with Penny more than anything. Hugo wanted the curse to stop more than anything. BUT… Desmond saved Charlie rather than receive what he wanted. And Hugo risked dying with Charlie in his bid to defy the curse.

Desmond represents sacrifice. Hugo represents surrender. The two qualities often squashed by that which is desired “more than anything”.

And what are the extremes of “science” or “faith” if not feeble attempts to acquire the kind of control over reality that will ensure one gets what one most desires?

--I keep thinking about this "accord between Jack and John" thing.

We didn’t get to see John’s farewell to Jack. Could they have crafted some kind of plan that they are even now working on together?

Might John have been privy to Ben’s plan for Juliet, and might he have made Jack privy to it?

Might Ben’s ultimate goal be something that John doesn’t want (causing people to have to leave the island or otherwise revealing the island to the world), so John has struck a deal to help Jack and the other survivors get off the island as long as Jack does something that prevents people from asking about the people who didn’t come back (telling the world John and others who want to stay are dead, for example, and selling the idea that it’s a very dangerous yet otherwise ordinary island)?

Will the plot evolve in such a way as to make everyone think John and Jack are at odds only to reveal at the last moment that they were in it together all along, symbolizing the power of science and faith cooperating rather than fighting with one another?

Did Jack take the stones from the corpses in the cave, and if he did, will they play a major role in the end of the show, proving that the writers had in mind where the plot was going since the beginning?

3.18 Update

It seems to me the most obvious Mikhail (Eye-patch guy) is back with us is because he has a “commune” with the island, much like John does, and so he was healed of his injuries. His statements about the wounds of the injured woman would seem to confirm this. But many questions are raised if any of this is true.

Assuming Mikhail didn’t lie about how quickly the woman’s wounds would heal (and I can think of no motive for him to lie about that), what makes the claim true? Up to this point we’ve been lead to believe that the healing power of the island doesn’t work for everyone. After all, people have died there. We might assume that Mikhail recognizes the woman as one who also has a commune with the island and therefore he could make these comments specifically about her, but if Mikhail could tell such a thing by looking at a person, why would he need some “great man” to make him a list of who’s “special” and who’s not?

We might conclude, also, that only certain wounds heal on the island, because Mikhail suggested the woman would die if she didn’t receive some treatment. (Then again, he needed some bargaining chip, so he might have lied about that, but then why contradict himself later and risk them catching him in the lie and not allowing him to escape?) Note that this idea contradicts any claim that it’s impossible for a person to die on the island.

I suppose the simplest way to make sense of all this is to conclude that it’s non-mortal wounds that heal more rapidly than normal on the island. The key is that the wounds need time to heal, and mortal wounds, obviously, don’t give a person adequate time. Based on what Mikhail said, this phenomenon would seem to be true for everyone on the island, not just those with a special “commune” such as John and Rose.

Couple this with Juliet’s claim that sperm counts increase among men (she didn’t qualify the claim in any way), and we might be able to conclude that everyone who ends up on the island has some level of “commune” with it. And that commune allows them, if given enough time, to become healthier and more fertile.

(I’ve not been paying attention… have we seen Jack without a shirt on since the first episode… how’s his stitched back healing up?)

This deepens the mystery as to why pregnant women die. Jazprof has suggested that the pregnancy crisis might be a hoax perpetrated against Juliet, and I think that possibility deserves serious consideration. The connection between the pregnancy issues and wombs looking significantly older than the women to whom they belong has not been made. When the “age difference” issue was first revealed, I suggested some kind of genetic testing might be going on, and jazprof’s theory somewhat independently corroborates that notion. Is the fact that Mikhail looks much older than he’s claimed to be connected in any way?

Every answer just brings more questions…

How hard would it really be to fake the finding of 815’s wreckage?

The fact is we’ve been fed a great deal of info to suggest that the “powers that be” are VERY powerful. But faking plane wreckage and perhaps bodies would be supremely tricky.

(Let me note here that the injured woman did not claim that bodies were found. She said there were no survivors. Then she said that everyone on the flight was dead, but… of course she’d say that, because she believed there were no survivors. This isn’t to say no bodies were found. It’s just to clarify what was said.)

But what if they could fake the finding of flight 815 without wreckage and without charred bodies?

What if all they had to do was make sure one of their firms was contracted for the rescue mission? Make sure any government-types involved were on their payroll? Create some doctored video, a few fake documents? With a tiny bit of work and a relatively small number of people you could have very realistic-looking images playing night and day on the news channels and Internet for weeks. And who would be the wiser? The wreck is out in the middle of the ocean somewhere.

None of this is to say the discovery of the wreck of flight 815 WAS faked. It’s just pointing out that for it to have been faked is not outside the realm of possibility.

Does anyone else think that Jack’s questioning of Sun’s health indicates that Jack’s onto Juliet? I mean, I think it's been obvious that he's onto her for some time now, but I wonder if this last bit of evidence is just more support for that idea.

Episode 3.18 revealed that Sun is more aware of her father’s dealings than she has let on. The implications of this could be far-reaching depending on how deeply her father is involved in other aspects of the LOST mythos.

Notice, though, her face after she threatened Jin’s mother… threatened her with death, even. Sun meant what she said, without any reservation. Contrast her look with Juliet’s after she’d finished threatening to inform on Sayid and Sawyer. Juliet showed fear and relief. Like, “Wow, I’m glad that worked!” Sun showed a ruthless confidence. A lesson she might have learned from her father.

Also, it’s rather disturbing to find out that Sun cheated on her husband in response to his problems knowing that she was, in significant measure, responsible for him being in the position to have those problems. And the cheating only came because she was already taking steps to abandone Jin to the cruel fate she’d had no small role in delivering to him.

It seems that Sun’s character has been waxing a bit dark of late, making her more recognizable as her father’s daughter. Just how dark do you suppose she’ll get?

3.19 Update

John:

I think we can establish that John didn’t know about Juliet until Ben told him about her. So, if John did have a chance to talk to Jack before leaving the Others’ camp (we still haven’t been given enough info to know if John and Jack conversed, although I think the 5/2 episode did attempt to discount that possibility) he wasn’t able to clue Jack into Juliet’s scheme. Of course, I have other reasons to suspect Jack knows, but I digress.

John told Sawyer that he wasn’t infiltrating the Others’ camp, but this is only true after a fashion. I suspected John was on “his own journey now” and I’m glad he actually said it, but if it’s true then a) he’s not really on Ben’s side and b) he is likely still to allow Ben to think that he is on his side. Maybe this isn’t “infiltrating the camp” in John’s eyes because he isn’t working for anyone other than himself. But it would be seen as “infiltrating the camp” from Ben’s perspective if he knew John’s motives.

It’s difficult to know, spiritually speaking, what the 5/2 episode meant and will mean to John. Will he see his own refusal to kill his father as a sign of weakness or strength? After all, Abraham had to be stopped from sacrificing Isaac, and any other result would presumably have shown a lack of faith. If John sees his mercy as weakness, will he allow the role he did play in his father’s murder to cancel that feeling out? Or will he see his show of mercy as strength AND his steering of Sawyer as strength upon strength… because in John’s mind the showdown of Sawyer vs. Sawyer might have been what the island really ordered. And if y’all remember John from the first season, this is in keeping with his original vision of and, perhaps, mission on the island.

To digress a bit more… since Richard set John on this path it might be tempting to give him much credit, even think that he’s the man behind the curtain. But we don’t have enough information to conclude such things. What Richard told John wasn’t surprising in the least and only begs one to consider that Richard’s conversation with John was a setup as well. John is perfectly capable of figuring this out also.

But if John knew he was doing with Sawyer just what Ben wanted him to do, then why did he do it? For the same reason he destroyed the sub even though he knew Ben wanted that. Again, John’s on his own journey now. He’ll do what he thinks is best regardless of who might benefit or not. Is it possible John is being played by Ben? Sure. But it’s also possible that John knows precisely what he’s doing.

Ben:

Ben revealed quite a few things in the 5/2 episode. The notion that John’s presence was helping him heal. The notion that John is so special as to be anticipated by the entire camp. The existence of “an old place” that holds obvious importance for the Others.

The problem is that everything he “revealed” could have been a lie. His healing might have nothing whatsoever to do with John. Richard’s implication that John’s reputation is somewhat hyped might be true even if Richard was doing Ben’s bidding to tell John that. As with everything Ben says, we have many things to take note of but nothing to store as established lore.

For all we know, John “finding his own journey” is precisely what Ben wants, for noble reasons or not.

Please allow me one more digression to point out that one reason I think Cooper was so convinced he was actually in Hell is because he had, as far as I could tell, no injuries from this crash. Seventy miles an hour when he crashed? Surviving an impact like that would take an enormous amount of luck, much less getting out without critical injuries. So what does this mean?

A) Cooper could have been collected by the Others many days previous to John’s finding him. But I’m thinking it would had to have been weeks, even months, for him to be in perfect health after a 70 mile per hour crash. I don’t think this is beyond the realm of possibility, as I think it would still make sense for Cooper to have been on the island for reasons not related to John, just like Ben’s tumor seemed to come for reasons not related to Jack (but Jack nevertheless showed up).

B) The island’s healing properties helped Cooper. I didn’t mention this in point A when considering Cooper’s recovery time because I think it renders the entire question of Cooper’s injuries irrelevant. But what does it say about Cooper’s present state? Is he really dead? Can he heal? Did Ben tempt John to kill Cooper with a knife because Ben knew that kind of wound would heal, so Cooper wouldn’t actually die at all (in which case the test would more closely parallel God’s testing of Abraham)?

C) Cooper didn’t have a car accident at all, but was somehow made to believe he did. This opens up even more questions and possibilities.

We’ve seen John heal up pretty good, but not in any way like he healed from that bite he got from his Dad. The scar over John’s right eye didn’t heal that fast or, obviously, without scarring.

So what if…

The place they camped is especially good at healing people, and especially so for people who have the kind of connection that John has with the island?

It was such properties that helped Ben start walking with a cane, not John’s presence?

That had John attempted to kill his father with a knife, his father would have healed in that spot and not died at all (and perhaps this is the kind of spectacle they wanted everyone, including those kids, to watch)?

As usual, I have no answers. Just questions questions questions.

And...

After Naomi was more specific about what was found, let’s consider:

She said the wreck was in a trench. Even before she pointed out that the wreck was four miles down, the mention of a trench should have been a dead giveaway. When she mentioned that “little cameras” were sent to inspect the wreck she failed to also point out that such “little cameras” are among the only things that can safely and economically dive to that kind of depth. She also didn’t point out that a wreck and victims that deep would be impossible (or, at least, entirely impractical) to recover.

Furthermore, the “little cameras” she spoke of are generally in the possession of private corporations and institutes. If any government needs such equipment they need to contract the work out to researchers and treasure hunters.

So… the mere fact that the plane ended up in a trench makes it such that all the facts about the crash, every detail, must be funneled to the rest of the world through (perhaps) one private organization. AND all of that evidence can only be somewhat cloudy video footage.

Whether or not any of this makes staging of the crash likely, it does put it well within the realm of possibility.

And a curious thing about Sayid's conversation with Naomi...

While I think Naomi was telling the truth, she might not have been telling the whole truth.

Sayid… again, one who is fairly good at telling who is lying (so long as the person isn’t John Locke!)… didn’t trust Naomi. I doubt he thought anything she told him was untrue, but he suspects she’s hiding something.

And if Sayid suspects that, she probably is.

Could it be she wasn’t entirely surprised to find the crash survivors? I mean… not necessarily that she knew they were there, but that she knew the crash was faked.

I’m not sure why, though, she would hide this kind of information.

And regarding Jack and Juliet (and a little more on Ben and Joh)...

Jack is rarely seen refusing someone a “private” audience. Even in front of people who weren’t once “Others” Jack often excuses himself to have a personal conversation with someone. For him to be so insistent that Kate speak her mind in front of Juliet was, for me, his first significant departure from his usual self.

Juliet’s behavior was a little odd as well. She gave Jack that look… which she’s given him before… that almost says, “OK… what are you going to do now, Jack?” Kind of like how Ben looked at John when he asked him if he wanted to leave with the Others. (Ben sort of sat up in his wheelchair and gave that bug-eyed “I’m going to hypnotize you now” stare and asked, “Would you like to come with us, John?” John, without missing a beat, said yes.) I just find it odd that characters are obviously being directed to give these “mind control” type looks whenever it’s obvious they want another character to do something. I suppose it might just be me seeing this, but…

And then neither Juliet nor Jack acted particularly surprised at hearing the news from Kate. All Jack could ask is why he wasn’t told about it sooner, like he’d been expecting something to happen and assumed that when it did happen he’d be alerted.

And which thing did Juliet want to tell Kate? That Kate might be pregnant? That Kate IS pregnant? Or was it something else?

And what does all of this mean?

Well, let’s consider this for a few moments. I don’t think Ben would have told John his plan to take women from the beach and then just expect him to go back to the beach and not say anything. Ben obviously counted on John leaking the info after the Others left him behind. I imagine that even John knew this is what Ben wanted, but he just did it anyway.

This indicates that Ben is setting Juliet up, and perhaps Jack also. Jack, I’m thinking, is actually onto Juliet and is just playing along, but he might not anticipate the conflict that Ben is about to plant within the camp of the crash survivors. However, it is possible that Juliet has an inkling of what Ben’s up to and she might have shared this info with Jack. This might also explain his strange behavior with Kate… Jack’s not just anticipating the raid (which Ben actually wants him to anticipate), but he’s anticipating the thing the raid is supposed to distract him from.

Obviously, there’s a complex web of crossing and double-crossing going on. It will be impossible, really, to short out who knows what about who until several more episodes pass.

Some other thoughts that came to me just before the airing of last night's episode:

As is PAINFULLY obvious by now, names often carry significance in LOST. Does Brother Campbell’s name refer to Joseph Campbell?

Campbell’s field of expertise was myth, and he became the foremost expert on myths and cross-cultural themes in myth before his death in 1987. His work influenced many, including George Lucas who relied on Campbell’s ideas in his creation of the Star Wars saga.

One of Campbell’s most influential ideas was “the hero’s journey” as it showed itself in myths from nearly every culture. The hero’s journey consists of many steps, including “the wise and helpful guide”. In this step, the hero is sometimes ushered into the heroic role by way of a mentor. This was Ben Kenobi for Luke Skywalker in the Star Wars saga. Are we meant to see Brother Campbell in this role for Desmond?

If so, then perhaps we are to understand that Desmond’s path is, in fact, a heroic one?

Let’s look at some of the other steps, in no particular order:

Threshold guardians: these are forces that attempt to keep the hero from embarking on the quest. Penny’s father certainly fills this role.

Passing the first threshold: once the threshold is passed, it is discovered to be only the first of many challenges in the hero’s journey. Desmond’s boat trip might count as the first threshold.

Mystical insight: that one’s probably self-explanatory.

The labyrinth and rescue of the princess: wow, another one that sort of speaks for itself.

Losing the guide: Luke losing Ben… Desmond losing Kelvin?

Heroic deeds: for Desmond, the failsafe and saving Charlie.

The sacred grove: shoot… that could be the whole dag-blamed island!

Sacrifice: bingo.

And my favorite:

Into the belly of the best: for Luke, the Deathstar, for Desmond the Swan Station.

This isn’t a complete list, but you get the idea. An important step, though, that definitely hasn’t happened yet but almost ALWAYS happens for the hero:

The hero’s return: The adventure is over and the hero arrives home triumphant.

Is that Desmond’s destiny as well?

(I’ll point out that Campbell was a fan of Carl Jung, the man who introduced the world to synchronicity. That’s right, Carl Jung. Not Sting.)

And some other thoughts...

In the 5/3 episode, Ben made such frequent reference to John bringing Cooper to the island (thus making Cooper John’s responsibility) that I think it would be helpful to think closely about this “magic box” phenomenon.

I submit that, when considering this element of the show, the proper template to use is Ben bringing Jack to the island. Ben himself suggested that the reason Jack was brought to the island was because Ben needed a spinal surgeon. For Ben, Jack came out of the magic box. It turns out we know quite a bit about how Ben and Jack eventually got together, so we might not have to guess as to how the “box” literally works.

The most striking thing about how the island gave Ben Jack is in how serendipitous it all was.

First, Ben got a tumor, which is something he’d claimed was unheard of on the island (let’s imagine that in this case he was telling the truth :-). After Ben got the tumor, it doesn’t appear as though he engaged in any particular ritual or went to visit some literal box or even gave any thought to wanting a spinal surgeon to drop out of the sky. In fact, at the time he already had a man whom he regarded as a competent surgeon (Ethan) and Tom made it sound as though Ben could easily have gotten help off the island had the communications not been knocked out (but that happened after Ben already had Jack… he didn’t go after Jack because of the communications outage). When Jack finally arrived on the island, it was via a seemingly random and clearly miraculous event. Jack wasn’t scouted out and kidnapped by the Others. He just showed up.

(I should grant here that I am assuming that the Others can come and go as they please, but this notion, though not proven, has been strongly suggested. I do acknowledge that since it hasn’t been proven it could still be shown wrong, but I think one has to admit that there is more actual in-show evidence for it than against it.)

If this serendipity is how the island “gives” people things, then it’s easy to see how Ben would hold John so responsible for Cooper if he believes that Cooper is on the island because of John. Ben certainly believed that Jack was on the island because of him. He was probably even more convinced of this when Jack didn’t show up on Jacob’s list. In Ben’s mind, there was no other reason for Jack to be on the island aside from Ben himself.

The problem with all of this in how it relates to John and Cooper is that Cooper’s story made it sound as though he was abducted by the Others some time after the wreckage of flight 815 was allegedly discovered. Naturally, one would assume that Cooper was brought to the island specifically for Ben’s purposes in having John face him. But if that’s really what happened, Ben would not hold John responsible for Cooper being there. So either Ben is making up the whole thing re: Cooper being there because of John or we aren’t being told Cooper’s entire story.

I’m betting that Cooper was on the island for some completely unrelated reason. Not one that Cooper knew about, but one that Ben does.

Of course, the broader implication in all of this is that the events on the island are a bit bigger than certain people making manifest what they want. Ben didn’t “want” a spinal surgeon until he had a tumor. But why did he get the tumor? Ben’s response to the news that he had a tumor did not strike me as one from a man who thinks his ailment is a random occurrence. He thought it meant something. The important thing wasn’t that he wanted a spinal surgeon. The important thing was that he was supposed to want one.

Likewise, the presence of Cooper signified something John was supposed to want. That thing might not relate directly to Cooper, actually. We never get any indication, as far as I can recall, that John actually wanted his father to show up on the island. I suppose we can apply the logic a different way and claim that it was actually Sawyer who called Cooper to the island, but that would suggest that Ben was incorrect about who was responsible for Cooper (unlikely) or that Ben lied. I don’t think Ben lied about this particular thing because what he told John was consistent with Ben’s own experience with Jack as it was clearly revealed to the viewing audience. And in the end, I think John himself believed that Cooper was his responsibility and he dealt with Cooper in his way.

For John, Cooper was like Charlie’s guitar, which served as Charlie’s first inspiration to give up drugs. Or like the knife Boone used to free himself after John had tied him up. Or like Jack’s trek through the jungle following his dead father, which John encouraged him to take because a leader can’t lead until he knows where he’s going. Or like the club John used to prevent Sayid from triangulating Danielle’s signal. All of these things were tools John had used to help various other survivors focus on their purposes for being on the island rather than on their desires to get off of it. Cooper would be the tool John would use to reach Sawyer. And in this way, John did give the island the sacrifice it demanded, even if not by his very own hand.

The point for John is that he wasn’t liberated from his father when Cooper died. He’d likely not have been liberated from his father if he’d killed Cooper himself, as the murder would forever haunt him. No, John became liberated from Cooper when he surrendered his picture of his father to the island, and from that moment on he saw Cooper, not as a father OR an enemy, but as an instrument of the island. In that sense, it didn’t matter how Sawyer came through his own test, killing Cooper or not. John will have let go regardless. (Although I think John knew what the outcome would be.)

And so we can conclude that the island did bring Cooper to the island for John’s sake. And when the island does “bring things”, it is not according to the designs of human minds, but according to some course of events that is much bigger than any person or group of persons on the island could possibly be.

Some thoughts on "the whispers"...

As far as I know, the only solid “in-show” clue we have about what the whispers are is from the episode where Sawyer hears one of them say something that the man he killed said just before he died. They man said, “It’ll come back around.” In the episode where this is revealed to us, Sawyer is chasing a boar that destroyed some of his things. Through a somewhat oddly-placed story, John suggested to Sawyer that the boar might be, in some fashion, the man Sawyer killed… the boar was the dead man’s last words come true.

Was the boar actually a boar? Or was it the smoke monster up to some of its classic tricks?

Even before the episode where Eko was killed, some suspected (myself included) that the smoke monster might be able to take other forms. The episode with Eko and Yemi might give credence to this idea. But I wonder if a connection to the whispers provides more evidence.

Recall that when Eko first encountered the smoke monster there were flashes of his life shown. Based on Sawyer’s experience of the whispers, might we conclude that they are the same as those flashes, only in audio form rather than visual?

In other words, Eko’s encounter with the smoke monster gave him a visual review of his life… did Sawyer’s encounter with the smoke monster (as the boar) give him an audio tour of his life?

It’s interesting to me how Sawyer’s “issues” seem to be among the most basic, his behaviors are almost the most transparent, and the trauma that led to him being the way he is today is almost the one most easy to sympathize with. And Sawyer’s character seems to be evolving more than other characters are. Jack’s still stubborn (“Jack Ass” Sawyer has called him), Kate’s still insecure, John’s still so focused on mysticism that he sometimes doesn’t seem grounded… the list goes on. But Sawyer actually seems to be growing up a little bit. True, Sawyer did still kill Cooper. But he didn’t kill that boar. (Of course, maybe facing Cooper on the island was what the dying man meant by “It’ll come back around”? An interesting point ponder…)

If the whole boar incident was something the smoke monster was concocting… it just seems like it was giving Sawyer some fairly special treatment compared to how it has treated others.

And hey... what about that vision John had with the crashing Beechcraft? I've got an idea...

OK… here’s how it was supposed to happen.

When he failed to break open the Swan Station hatch, John asked for a sign and he got it. He faithfully followed his vision to the place it showed him… the suspended Beechcraft. Boone was with him.

Boone climbed up into the plane and it fell, mortally wounding him.

John took Boone back to the caves and ditched him there. He whined for a while back at the hatch before heading back to the plane, certain that he had yet to discover why he’d been sent there.

The ruined plane pointed John right to the Pearl Station. John had told Charlie that the island would give him what he wanted if Charlie gave the island something first. In Boone’s death, the island had exacted its price from John for all the things it had done for him.

Inside the Pearl, John saw the orientation tape and got a glimpse of the man who lived in the Swan Station. He figured out what “the hatch” was about and knew what he needed to do.

He needed to get the fellow in the Swan Station to stop pressing the button.

John eventually got into the Swan and met Kelvin. John talked him into letting the button go. Kelvin panicked and activated the failsafe while John cleared the station before it imploded. John concluded that destroying the Swan Station was what the island had intended him to do.

Later on, at the Flame Station (which John would still find with the help of Eko’s staff, because Eko was still going to be killed by the smoke monster eventually), John would learn why he’d been led to destroy the Swan Station: Doing so knocked out communications between the island and the outside world, a most desirable outcome for John.

But what actually happened?

Desmond arrived on the island, creating a distraction for Kelvin in the form of Desmond’s boat. Eventually, Desmond killed Kelvin in an altercation over the boat. So Desmond took up pressing the button in Kelvin’s place. When John was whining at the hatch, Desmond was contemplating suicide and, therefore, heard John even though he’d apparently not been disturbed by all kinds of bigger noises John had made on the hatch previous to that point. Desmond, I suppose you could say, was more attentive than normal at that moment because he was desperate for a sign. In response to John’s whining, Desmond turned on a light, receiving his sign and reigniting John’s infatuation with the hatch and messing up the entire order of things, such that Ben had to come and fix it personally, manipulating John into giving up on the button.

What’s it all mean?

Desmond is definitely not “supposed” to be there. And I imagine that he is a factor that Ben will really need to deal with very soon (as many others on this site have already pointed out). But an important question is then raised…

The jewelry store lady steered Desmond toward the island. SHE wanted him to be there. Does that mean that the jewelry store lady and Ben not on the same side?

And what does this say about Desmond being responsible for crashing the plane in the first place?

Some observations on several of the characters thus far...

Carl Jung’s “synchronicity” suggests time has a non-linear quality. We’re all familiar with the impressions past moments make on the present but synchronicity asserts that future moments also leave their impressions on the here and now.

Logically, the future moments that make the deepest impressions on the present are the most probable ones. Less probable futures, though, should still also send ripples “back” in time. This means that anyone who is sensitive to synchronicity might be able to see not just one possible future, but several.

The resulting “psychic abilities” can manifest in many ways. One person, perhaps, must use Tarot cards or I-Ching to divine the patterns that point to what’s going to happen in the very near future. Another may rely on omens. Another, premonitions. Still others may have flashes of what the future is actually going to look like. And a small number may actually be able to see all of the possible futures spread out before them.

Given a person who can visualize many possible futures, this same person might also be able to find the future she or he wants and align her or his thoughts and desires with that future. Thus, no matter how improbable that future is to begin with, she or he can make it happen.

John’s sensitivity to synchronicity appears to be very organic and subtle. He knows what’s going to happen and what’s in the hearts of others because he “senses” it. The stories he tells people and the journeys he takes them on are not planned carefully ahead of time. He follows his instinct. To have visions, he must invoke them with drugs or stress. For the most part, his gut tells him what he is supposed to do, and with this he has had very impressive results.

Jack’s gifts in this regard are not so subtle, but they aren’t particularly sharp either. Jack can visualize even the most improbable future and make it happen (such as when he “fixed” his soon-to-be wife) but to do this he must summon an enormous amount of will. Commitment is what makes Jack tick. But on some level he knows that it must be absolute or he’ll fail. So he has a very difficult time letting go.

Juliet is very much like Jack in this respect. The bus killing her ex-husband may parallel the incident where a bird flew into Walt’s window. (I believe Juliet sensed it was going to happen, rather than making it happen.) Juliet’s abilities may be the actual (or, at least, more important) reason that she was brought to the island. Of course, perhaps the truth is that Juliet WAS much like Jack. Lately she appears to have had some training in her gifts which has perfected her abilities.

Desmond has flashes, but note that he, too, has seen at least two versions of the future at the same time. In the episode where he had a flash of Charlie being killed by an arrow through the throat there was also a flash of Charlie helping catch the parachutist. That is, Desmond saw a future where Charlie was both dead and alive. You could say he was given a choice as to which one would actually come to pass, and he chose the one where Charlie lives.

Walt’s gifts seem to have been the most developed of all. He foresaw some danger in John opening something (presumably the hatch, but maybe something yet to be seen?) and decided to willingly flee the island with his father. He even had a sense of how many times he should shake the cup in backgammon to get just the roll he needed. In studying him, the Others got “more than they bargained for” but they were also very willing to let him go. I agree with many on this site that he must have proven to be more of a liability than an asset.

Hugo seems to have latent abilities. His decision to play the numbers in the lottery was not accidental. There was a reason he knew them and a reason he played them, and from that moment the wave of synchronicity that has caught everyone up and brought them to the island has looked to him to be a curse. But what of all the more positive coincidences that happened around him? The ones he didn’t notice? The two biggest being a) many people did survive the crash, and b) all of those people who survived may be getting just what they always wanted (see my post “Giving them what they want”.)

Sayid knows when he’s being lied to. Is he just very intuitive, or are there psychic currents flowing there as well?

Ben’s powers seem to be more about reason than intuition. As John puts it, Ben “cheats”. Think of a computer playing chess. (Remember Mikhail’s “cheating” computer?) Computers do not play chess in the same manner people do. People must use intuition and observation and innovation. A computer simply uses its processing ability to calculate every possible future move from a given state, and then it calculates the best move based on its brute-force-derived “map of the future”. The computer does cheat, actually, by the very method that John invoked to argue that computers can’t cheat. Ben cheats in this way also. At best, he’s a very good fortune teller. But to make things happen the way he wants, he’s got to have a lot of knowledge that others do not have. Thus, people who can “see” the future are a threat to him.

Claire was introduced early as someone who has some skill in astrology. It would be very nice if her character eventually has more to her than just “pregnant woman” and “woman with baby”. I presume we have yet to see her gifts strongly manifest themselves.

And speaking of Claire...

An interesting coincidence?

Flight 815 crashed on the autumnal equinox in 2004.

The winter solstice in 2004 occurred 91 or 92 days after that, depending upon what part of the world you live in (if memory serves).

I broke down and checked Lostpedia and according to them the challenge to John occurs on day 90.  (Or thereabouts... the article is kind of confusing, so I'm not sure which day is which... maybe they don't know for certain themselves.)

Is this “close enough”? Because this is also supposedly the same day that Naomi claimed “the clouds cleared” over the island. Are we supposed to somehow get that the island is “revealed” on equinoxes and solstices?

If equinoxes and solstices are important to the properties of the island, perhaps this is the angle that will finally give Claire more significance in the plot, as she might be able to call on her knowledge of astrology to help everyone figure some things out. (Regardless of how one feels about astrology, some of the more serious astrologists do learn quite a bit about honest-to-goodness astronomy. If there are “time anomalies” associated with the island, a clever astrologer might eventually notice this. I wonder when she’ll ever sit down to do a chart for Aaron… and looking up in the sky I wonder what she’ll see? All the constellations and planets in the wrong places? Hmm…)

On Coooper...

I guess I want it stated, for the record, before episode 3.20 airs, that I thought when Cooper was talking to Sawyer that he was asking very strange.  In fact, now that I think about it, he was acting the way Sawyer would expect him to act as a con-man from the South.  In all the times we've seen Cooper talk to John, he didn't sound like that.  It makes me wonder what's going to be in the sack that John delivers to Ben.  It's also made me wonder about Ethan and his "super strength" that seemed to give out the second time he faced Jack.  Was that calculated by... whatever was pretending to BE Ethan? The Mikhail that reacted badly to the sonic fence... was that the "real" Mikhail? I don't really have answers here.  Just questions.  I just wouldn't be surprised if we find out there were several times in the show where we didn't see what we thought we saw.... thanks to the smoke monster taking different forms? Who knows at this point…

3.20 update

OK… I’m going out on a limb…

The man Ben ran into out in the jungle was not Richard. It was Richard’s father, Jacob.

Richard’s main motivation in steering John’s actions is to be reunited with his father. Ben has just done too good a job in cutting Jacob off from everyone.

Notice Richard’s response when John says he and Ben are going to see Jacob.

I know… it’s dangerous to make leaps of logic like this… but what the heck…

Now, the 5/9 episode suggested several directions for the plot to travel from this point forward. I can’t guess which direction will actually be taken, but I can list a few that would disappoint me some.

The recorder — Ben revealed the recorder to John, even told him what was on it and what it was for, EVEN let John see where he hid it (in an unlocked drawer), probably knew that John would fail his test and be left behind and thus feel resentful toward Ben… aaaaaaaaand yet he was shocked that the recorder was missing? Sorry, folks, but this doesn’t sound like the guy who had Juliet’s infiltration of the beach planned clear back since the abduction of Claire. Either we find out that he intended for the recorder to make it to the beach, or at least that he had a contingency plan, or there is something seriously wrong here. Now, the problem can be fixed if we learn that Ben’s amazing foresight and cleverness must be credited to someone else… a someone who he wouldn’t have expected to hold out on him, such that he truly was caught off guard by John. Perhaps Jacob?

Richard — Ben is pulling the wool over everyone’s eyes, always a step ahead of everyone, and currently he’s running a con on John, trying to embarrass him and whatnot… buuuuut one of Ben’s closest confidants barely hides his complicity with John when he hands him the folder on Sawyer? I realize that the closer and advisor is the bolder he can be without being found out, but… come on! Too easy! I think it makes perfect sense for people dealing with Ben to want to pull a coup, but everything we’ve seen with Ben so far suggests that such a thing would be supremely difficult to pull off, and you wouldn’t just sit up on a hill and talk frankly with a “mark” and out in the open hand him information he’s clearly not supposed to have. Again… if Ben was getting help from someone to pull off some of his elaborate cons and that person isn’t feeding him insight anymore… well, then maybe I can see that Richard’s behavior is legit. Even more so, I suppose, if Richard himself was the talent behind Ben’s work. But we’ll see. If it turns out that Ben was just duped in a somewhat casual way… that’ll seem off to me.

Juliet — Since the moment Juliet showed up it’s been obvious that she can choose any side she wants, so I’ve never had a preference as to whose side she joins. But if she doesn’t think Ben has a way off the island then she better have given him some VERY good reason for her wanting to help him with the beach job. I just can’t imagine he’d enlist her help unless he thought he was promising her something that she wouldn’t possibly throw away. Now, let’s say he promised her a way off the island, but she had some way of finding out there IS no such way, so then she decides to allow him to believe that she believes him so that she can exact a little revenge from the beach… that I could believe. But if Ben trusted her without some big thing waiting in the wings to promise her… I don’t think I can buy that.

Actually, there are a few more things I could list, but I imagine they may be a tad more controversial than these, so let’s leave the list at this length for now.

Bottom line: About the only way the plot can go at this point in order not to seem like a copout is… Someone (perhaps Jacob) who Ben really trusted was helping him con everyone but the big con was really on Ben himself. Soon it will become obvious that all of the things Ben thought was accomplishing HIS objectives (including the destruction of the Flame Station and the sub) has actually been working against him. The con is almost finished, so Richard can be somewhat bold, not worried about John giving away his activities (as John did twice). And Ben, seeing things fall apart in just the past couple days, finally starts to figure out he’s been had when John shows up with Cooper’s body… and Jacob sends a private message to John.

OR… Juliet ends up being on Ben’s side after all, the rest of the con against John plays itself out (if he survived) and Jack loses face big-time, causing political fortunes on the beach to take some major shifts.

But… as I’ve confessed many times… at this point it seems as though anything goes.

Now, the good news is my speculation that Ben might have joined an indigenous group when he was younger, eventually to overthrow the Dharma Initiative and lead "the Others" in an unsteady peace with Jacob, seems to have all been confirmed.  Speculations that John and Jack are working in league with one another, on the other hand, seem to be unlikely, but at least they don't seem to be at cross-purposes with one another.I’d like to suggest that when Juliet was recruited to come to the island, Richard had a very different agenda compared to Ben’s. Richard wanted Juliet for her “John-like” qualities. It was fortunate for him that Juliet was also a fertility doctor, because then he could play along perfectly with Ben’s schemes. (Now, Ben might have been more interested in Juliet’s other gifts as well, but that isn’t really the point… the point is that Richard could easily play along with the infertility angle that Ben, sincerely or not, wanted all of his people to buy into.) I think Juliet will align with anyone who can get her off the island. Failing that, I think she’ll align with Richard (who, actually, may know a way off the island). If Richard is really opposing Ben right now (and I think he might be so that he can be reunited with his father, Jacob) then it might be that we’re about to find out that Ben is ready to fall for the biggest con of all.

Some thoughts on Light and Dark...

In many religions the solstices and equinoxes play a significant role. These four important solar events are often thought of as analogous to the day/night cycle, drawing a parallel between the progression of a typical day and the passing of a typical year.

The winter solstice would be the day of the year where there is the least sunlight. It’s analogous to midnight in a typical day.

The vernal equinox is equal parts day and night, and would thus be analogous to dawn.

The summer solstice would be the day with the greatest amount of sunlight, making it analogous to high noon.

And the autumnal equinox would equate with dusk.

This way of looking at the year naturally divides it into parts “dark” and “light”. Cultures differ upon where the “official” division takes place. For example, some might suggest that the “dark” of the year ought to begin at a point midway between the autumnal equinox and the winter solstice. Others would suggest that the marks for “light” and “dark” ought to begin at equinoxes, since it’s after them that either light or dark begins to dominate.

We know that flight 815 crashed on the vernal equinox in the Southern Hemisphere of the globe. By some reckoning, this means just as the light part of the year was dawning. It appears that Naomi landed on the summer solstice, which would indicate the “high noon” of the year. Note that John in particular experienced exceptional healing on these dates (the paralysis on the equinox, his bite wound on the solstice). Rose and Ben were also exceptionally helped on or near these dates (Rose with her cancer and Ben with his ability to walk after his surgery).

Out of all the crash survivors, the person most likely to eventually notice these patterns is Claire, since she has had some training, apparently, in astrology. (I’m just waiting for her to try to do Aaron’s chart… will she find all the constellations and planets where they ought to be? Presumably, she’s not so far from Australia that she shouldn’t be able to tell.)

Recall that Jack is a self-proclaimed “Man of Science”. His half-sister Claire appears to me to be a “Woman of Faith”.

So I wonder… will Claire discover the pattern of events and begin to make some predictions as to what might happen on the autumnal equinox, and the winter solstice after that? It’s taken three seasons for us to move through just two of these solar events… is moving through the other two the reason the show can stretch out for three more seasons? Will the “dark” and “light” stones that Jack found on the cave skeletons be a key to Claire’s epiphany about the “light” and “dark” of the year, fulfilling the promise on the part of the writers that the skeletons would somehow be integral to the finale of the series? Will Jack and Claire, then, represent the merging of science and faith, the defeat of the false and fatalistic dichotomy that seems to present the fundamental character conflict of the show?

I think this is plausible.  Maybe the origin of the yin-yang symbol, which represents the dynamic relationship of opposing forces (a foundational theme of the show), lends credence to these ideas.

3.21 Update

As I’m sure many of us expected, the 5/16 episode was mostly logistical maneuvering to get us ready for the two-hour finale. For some of you who expected perhaps Richard or Alex would come to John’s aid, the episode provided some challenges. For those of you who figured out that Danielle was probably getting dynamite to help the folks on the beach… good job! Here are a few other things I think we know (and don’t know!)…

John is most likely still lying in the pit. If anyone is available to help him, I’m not sure who it is other than Jacob from a distance (although I’ll note that I didn’t happen to see Tom at the camp when Ben returned… he might have been there, though).

Richard demonstrates even further how “not on board” he is. Questioning Ben’s order, pointing out that Juliet might not be ready when he could just as easily have figured out that taking all of the women is as good as sneaking in and only taking a few… at least, he’d have figured that out if kidnapping pregnant women was all he cared about. He clearly didn’t want the mission to proceed early, and I doubt this was just in consideration to Juliet’s “known” mission. Perhaps he and Juliet have formed an alliance and he knows what she is up to. If so, he’d naturally not want her plans to be interrupted by a surprise attack.

As has always been true, Ben may or may not be a step ahead of everyone. We’ve never even known for certain that Juliet HAS turned on Ben, and we still don’t know. The webs of cross and double-cross are very complex and I’m not even convinced they’ll be untangled by the end of the finale.

Desmond’s flashes were wrong. Or he lied about them. I’m going with “wrong”. His last flashes showed Charlie both dying AND living. To me, the fact that Charlie didn’t drown in the way Desmond thought he would is just more proof that Desmond sees a version of the future, not THE future, which throws into question the validity of “jewelry store lady’s” assertion that the future is set and there’s nothing that can be done about it.  (Yes, it is still possible that what Desmond saw will still happen to Charlie, but I'm still betting on the "wrong" angle.  Maybe if I think of a good motive for Desmond lying to Charlie I'll entertain that possibility more.)

We know nothing more about Naomi, really.

The people in the underwater station could be anyone at this point. Perhaps after Naomi disappeared some team from Penny’s outfit was able to infiltrate the station with scuba gear, drain it, and now they’re going to give Charlie a hard time about their missing pilot. Or perhaps these people are from an entirely different group. Who knows? If they ARE Penny’s people, though, then Desmond was right… he WAS getting visions of Charlie’s death for a reason and he WAS supposed to go into the station instead of Charlie.

The biggest question for me… why is it whenever Charlie sings that song it starts to rain? :-)

All of this could still go a dozen different ways, I think.

And... when Ben returned from his visit with Jacob, was Richard about to ask him if John SAW Jacob? Does this suggest that Richard knows that Jacob is sometimes invisible to others?

And, incidentally... where's the radio that Palo brought into the camp? Did Juliet find it and has she been using it to keep Ben in the loop on things "in real time"? Difficult to predict anything at this point, really.  I mean, every one of the crash survivors has something they want so badly they'd do almost anything to get it, so even one of them could have found the radio and used it to betray everyone else.  Sawyer was the last one seen with the radio, but just about anyone else could have gotten their hands on it.  The least likely person to betray everyone is Hugo, but even he might sell everyone out if it meant being reunited with Libby.  (Hey... someone raised that drowned girl in Australia from the dead, so how knows?)

Some other thoughts while pondering the dynamic between Jacob and Ben...

Some researchers of the paranormal believe in a phenomenon called “psychic teleportation” where a “gifted” person is able to use the power of her or his mind to cause objects to disappear from one place and appear somewhere else. This phenomenon is also believed to allow certain people to make themselves appear in two places at once. This might be better known to y’all as “the doppelganger phenomenon”.

Walt demonstrated this ability to Shannon and Sayid, and Ms. Klugh acknowledged the ability when she asked Michael if he’d ever seen his son in person even while Walt lived half-way around the world. The fact that Walt was soaking wet in his appearances was perhaps meant to indicate he was being held someplace that was under water, likely the same place they eventually held Jack. However one might like to explain Walt’s ability, it surely is an established aspect of the show.

Naturally, allowing phenomena like this in the narrative opens up many possibilities. One might even imagine if a person is gifted enough to appear in two places at once, she or he might also be powerful enough to appear as whatever she or he wants. The appearance of Yemi and perhaps even Dave can be explained via something akin to the doppelganger phenomenon. It’s important to note that doppelgangers are not simple illusions or “specters”. They are solid, physical manifestations that can interact with other people in normal ways (although it’s said that the “original” is often physically drained by the experience of producing the double).

Jacob has certainly been portrayed as having paranormal qualities. It would make sense to conclude that he uses something like psychic teleportation to guide some people, in particular John, to where he wants them to go. But I wonder if Jacob is the only one, or actually the one, who has been doing this.

Let’s look at the manifestations of Yemi. First of all, the first person to have had an experience with Yemi was the girl in Australia who had drowned and then resurrected a day later. Presumably while she was dead, Yemi gave her a message to give to Eko. The next time Yemi is experienced is in a dream. Eko spoke to Yemi in the hatch, and Yemi told him that the work that was being done in the hatch was very important, but in danger (and Eko got a glimpse of what might happen if the button wasn’t pushed). The mission Yemi sent Eko on was to get John to find “the question mark”. (This is the Pearl Station… since it was located near the plane, one might conclude that John was first guided to the station via his vision of the crashing Beechcraft, but after Boone’s death he “lost his way,” as Yemi put it.) The next time Yemi is seen, it’s in a dream that John has. John sort of is Eko in the dream and he eventually sees Yemi sitting in John’s old wheelchair. The reason John was given this dream to relate to Eko is obvious: it gave credence to Eko’s claims that he was being guided by a higher power.

After these experiences Eko really takes over John’s role in the show. Even the way John had of telling people just the perfect story for their situation, Eko told such a story to Michael who had recently murdered Anna Lucia and Libby. Of course, Eko also took over pressing the button in the Swan Station.

Now, the thing to notice here is that none of these experiences with Yemi were of the “doppleganger” kind. Also, I think it’s fair to connect whatever “force” was responsible for these dreams to whatever force was responsible for John’s vision of the Beechcraft. And I’ll also note that in these visions, Yemi is very helpful. He tells Eko not to get caught up in distractions, but to focus on what is important. “What’s done is done,” he says, seeming to forgive Eko for whatever crimes he’s committed in the past.

Contrast all of this with Eko’s other encounter with Yemi. This time not in a dream, but as a somewhat dissatisfied spirit. In the previous experience, Yemi acknowledged he was Eko’s brother… called him “brother”, but in the later experience Yemi denied the connection. Of course, in the later experience Eko was violently killed and there’s an implication that “Yemi” had something to do with this.

So one wonders… was the same force behind both appearances of Yemi?

At this point in the show, it makes sense to me to think that Jacob had something to do with the first appearances of Yemi, and some other force contrary to Jacob and his aims was responsible for the latter manifestation. I don’t know if that angrier force would be Ben or just someone under Ben’s control, but it makes sense that the force would be connected to Ben somehow.

The show has often been compared to a game of chess, and certainly chess has been alluded to often (even in the last episode… Ryan was playing chess when Ben approached). But who is playing chess with whom? Is the match between Jacob and Ben? Do the Others represent Ben’s pieces, while Jacob is trying to use the crash survivors (particularly John) as his? What does each side ultimately want? And who’s winning?

Season Finale Update

Look back at the 3.20 update to see my list of things that may disappoint as the show progresses... it will help you understand where I’m coming from with the following speculation.

What if everything is still going according to Ben’s plans? If you recall Ben in the Swan Station as he pretended he was Henry Gale, he proved to be an extraordinary actor. He was even smart enough to stay in character many times while nobody was even watching him. It’s been made clear that Ben has not only been conning the crash survivors but his own people as well. Is there some plausible motive for Ben to make all of the things happen that eventually led to the finale of season 3?

Everything Ben has done appears to have been in an effort to look to “his people” as if he’s doing everything he can to protect the island, while at the same time not going so far as to cut the island off from the world completely. He also wants to appear honest, gracious, and fair to his people. Thus he appears to keep his promises of release to Michael, Jack, and Juliet. He relies on John to blow up the Flame Station and scuttle the submarine. He makes it appear as though he is as anxious as anyone to welcome a new “very special” person into the fold of the Others. And, more recently, he spared the lives of Sayid, Bernard, and Jin so that he could contrast the savagery of the crash survivors with the mercy of his own people.

But what Ben really wants, what he desperately needs, are new enemies. And he knew the crash survivors would provide him that for a time, but if he could use them to bring even more “bad guys” to the island, even better.

History teaches that nothing solidifies the authority of even the most unpopular leader better than the jarring appearance of a gravely malicious, external threat. If Naomi does, in fact, work for “the bad guys” then Jack did not call for rescue. He merely invited a new group onto the island and war is imminent. If Jack and Kate do escape the island soon after it will have to be under terms that keep the island and the war hidden from the rest of the world.

Jacob has been trying to prevent Ben from bringing war to the island. But it appears he’s failed.

Actually, it may be that Jack is “exiled” from the island… persuaded to leave by the new bad guys in town with the promise that, if he does leave and keeps his mouth shut, some person or perhaps even the entire group of crash survivors will be spared some awful fate. At that point, perhaps, he negotiates Kate’s release as well, along with a full pardon from her crimes.

If Jack ends up being responsible for putting the crash survivors in greater danger rather than saving him, I imagine he’ll be messed up enough psychologically (and perhaps politically) to make all kinds of other mistakes.

I don’t know if this is the direction the show is going… but it would almost have to go some direction like this for the “Things that may disappoint…” not to, in fact, disappoint.

Some other thoughts...

There are two things about the Looking Glass Station that Ben didn’t want his people to know. First, that it wasn’t really flooded. And second, that it was jamming transmissions from the island. Ben didn’t even clue Mikhail into these facts. It’s still a question as to whether or not Richard knew.

What’s interesting, though, is that Juliet knew that the station was jamming transmissions, but supposedly didn’t know the station wasn’t actually flooded. Did Ben only tell her half the truth? Juliet also said specifically that the jamming was for all signals except their own. First of all, is that something that even makes sense? (Certainly certain frequencies can be jammed as opposed to jamming all frequencies, but wouldn’t open frequencies be open to anyone, providing they have a variable-frequency device?) Is this what Ben told her, or did she make this up on the spot for some reason?

Let’s assume for a moment that Juliet knew the station wasn’t flooded since she also knew about the jamming that was taking place. Why would she have told Jack and Sayid that it was flooded? To discourage them from trying to shut the thing off? What did Juliet actually want to happen?

But let’s leave that line of questioning for a moment and consider Desmond in the course of events. Many of us on this site have concluded that Desmond is a “wild card” in the plot of the show. A kind of blind spot for Ben, if you will, and perhaps for Jacob also. It doesn’t seem as though Desmond is taken into account in Ben’s plans, and Desmond’s flashes REALLY seem to throw wrenches in things. When you think about it, if it weren’t for Desmond, there wouldn’t have been a parachutist. If it weren’t for his flashes, Naomi might not even have been noticed and she would have died. So without Desmond there wouldn’t have been a satellite phone for the crash survivors to “un-jam” and the Looking Glass Station would never have come up. Thus, it’s reasonable to wonder if Juliet did, actually, have to improvise when the whole Naomi thing came up.

But wouldn’t she see Naomi as her own chance to get off the island and get out from under Ben’s thumb? She might. Unless she had some way of knowing who Naomi actually represented. But how would she know? We’re not even sure if Ben knew before he saw her, and how would Ben have let Juliet know even if he did?

Well…. we still don’t know where that radio is that Paulo got from the Pearl.

A bit more needs to be said, though, in regard to this “wild card” issue. If Desmond is, in fact, invisible to Ben’s plans, then Naomi and her entire subplot did actually come as a surprise to Ben. But it’s uncertain as to what his response to this turn of events actually was. I do think he didn’t want the station to be infiltrated by the crash survivors (another thing that only happened because of Desmond) but the question remains open as to what he’d have done with the satellite phone if he could have gotten his hands on it. Notice that if Ben actually wanted to make it impossible for people on the island to contact the outside world he actually would have had the Looking Glass destroyed or flooded. He wouldn’t have left it operational and guarded. What had he planned to use the station for?

As I state above, I think it’s plausible that Ben actually wants Naomi’s people to come. I think his appearance of weakness against such a force could easily be a ruse. (That is, he’s got an ace up his sleeve… perhaps that ace is Jacob, since, despite whatever differences the two may have, they both seem to be interested in protecting the island. And if the smoke monster’s on Ben’s side… well… enough said, I think.) He’s been very careful about how things have transpired so it looks to everyone as though he’s done everything for the protection of the island. But when conflict comes, his leadership, which was so clearly waning, will be strengthened.

Note that Ben gave his men on the beach instructions only to pretend to kill Sayid, Bernard, and Jin. This indicates that Ben knew Jack would “let it happen”. Surely Ben is also smart enough to know that this would send Jack into an irrational rage. So surely he also knew that if the phone ever got a signal, there would be nothing on Earth that could stop Jack from using it. And besides all of that… Ben has proven to be an expert in knowing how to talk people into things. It’s not likely that it was a mistake on Ben’s part that he did the exact wrong thing to secure Jack’s cooperation.

I guess I think the questions I raise here really need to be answered if Lost is truly of the writing caliber that most of us assume it is. Of course, it is just TV. :-) But I’m holding out some hope for it.

More thoughts...

When the Others had Michael and they were quizzing him on Walt’s “abilities”, Ms. Klugh suggested that Walt had the ability to be in two places at once. Specifically, she asked Michael if Walt had ever been in his presence while he was still with his mother half-way around the world. This psychic ability is called “the doppelganger effect” and some parapsychologists believe this is a verified phenomenon. (The most popular anecdotal account of a person with this ability pertains to one Emilie Sagée, if you care to look her up.)

If you recall, the first time we see Walt appear where he isn’t supposed to be it’s to Shannon and he’s soaking wet. Perhaps what we were to learn from this was that Walt was being kept someplace underwater (for instance, in the same place that Jack was eventually kept when he was first captured by the Others… Ms. Klugh referred to it in a warning to Walt as “the room”).

Recall also that Ben gave Michael a heading and told him that if he followed it he would “find rescue”. Also, Ben manipulated the events that lead to the destruction of the Swan Station. It seemed as though it’s what he wanted to happen, and this would make sense since its destruction led to communications being knocked out and to the “homing beacon” shutting down, two things Ben wanted to happen for the same reasons he wanted the sub destroyed.

But what if Ben also knew that the destruction of the Swan Station would signal the people Naomi works for? And what if these people were “the rescue” Ben was sending Michael and Walt to meet?

Wouldn’t this mean that Walt is on “Naomi’s freighter”? Could it be from there that he is “bilocating” and sending his twin to speak to John?

Remember, before John opened the Swan Station, Walt begged him, “Don’t open it Mr. Locke! Don’t open it!” We still don’t know if Walt was referring to “the hatch” because he and John weren’t talking about the hatch when Walt said this, and in fact there was no ordinary way for Walt to even have known about the hatch at that time. But perhaps Walt knew that getting into the hatch would eventually lead to its destruction and the arrival of new, more sinister visitors to the island.

Perhaps this line of reasoning can also explain why John had no problem killing Naomi in cold blood while he failed to follow through on his threat to shoot Jack. Maybe John, via Walt’s first-hand accounts, knew something about Naomi that proved beyond doubt that she was an immediate threat. A very bad person. Therefore John felt justified in killing her. But Jack is an entirely different story. Sure, on a practical level he was no better than Naomi if he was about to do for her what she’d been interrupted from doing herself. But on a personal level, in John’s mind Jack is “one of the good guys” and that level of consideration supremely matters to John. So he had to walk away.

There are couple issues with this theory, but I’m not sure if they’re show-stoppers or not.

For one, in keeping with the “mirror image” nature of the doppelganger, Walt’s original appearance to Shannon included speech that was reversed. This is not a classical characteristic of the psychic gift as far as I’m aware. That is, “backwards speech” seems to be something nifty that the writers threw in themselves. However, when Walt appeared to John, there was no backwards speech, and his behavior was closer to that of a classic doppelganger. Nevertheless, should we take the small difference between both appearances of Walt to indicate a big different as to where the apparitions originated?

Another issue is that some superstitious beliefs surrounding doppelgangers suggest that the double is always evil… “a bad twin”. Since “The Bad Twin” has been referenced in the storyline, it makes one wonder if the concept should be applied to Walt’s shenanigans. And if the spectral appearances of Walt were bad, did the “original” intend to lead Shannon to her death? Is the one that has spoken to John giving him bad advice? Or does this angle on the doppelganger effect have no bearing on what Walt is doing?

As usual… more questions than answers.

And... I suppose I should state the obvious and note that the "flash forward" we see in the finale could be someone's premonition of what's going to happen and is not, in fact, what will happen.  Not sure, at the moment, how I feel about that possible outcome.

And while I'm at it, another obvious theory pertains to immortality.  I mention WAY back that some clues seem to indicate experiments in this area.  While I think the man young Ben finds in the jungle isn't Richard, if he IS Richard and life extension has been attained for some, this might explain the problem with pregnancies.  That is, some life-extension strategies that the body may employ would amount to ramping up the immune system, causing pregnant women to reject their fetuses (although I imagine this would result in early-term miscarriages more than late-term deaths of the mothers).  This idea makes more sense when you consider that nature might have a way of preventing effectively immortal organisms from reproducing, for obvious reasons.

Some other thoughts:

It has seemed clear to me and to many others that one lesson Desmond is “supposed to learn” is that his flashes don’t show the future as it must be, but only as it might be. That perhaps the woman who spoke to him in the jewelry store overstated the case for “course correction”.

Some evidence of this is found in examining the woman’s claim logically. Presumably, the reason one “must” die when “his time comes” is because, in some sense, he’s finished serving his purpose in the cosmos and/or his death in a particular manner in a particular place at a particular time IS his purpose in the cosmos. But if the universe actually does “course correct”, then there is the possibility that, when a person is saved, the “corrected cosmos” will no longer require this person’s immediate death and/or will have a renewed purpose for the once-doomed individual. (In fact, this always seemed to be the case for Charlie… each time he survived there was some new life-threatening mission for him to take on, a new purpose.) If the woman in the jewelry store was correct, her reasoning can be used to justify not saving a life OR to justify continuing to save it until it is no longer “required” to be lost. (Of course, this logic also does suggest that the person who no longer has to die is merely replaced by someone else who must suffer an untimely death, but I digress…)

More evidence is seen in Desmond’s flashes of the parachutist. Recall that Desmond had a flash of Charlie dying, but in that very same “flash session” he saw Charlie helping cut the parachutist down (which, naturally, he couldn’t have done dead). Desmond saw two possible futures, not just one. And if you watch that episode, you may notice a moment where Desmond is starting to realize that his flashes might not be what he thought they were.

More evidence still can be found in analyzing the evolution of Desmond’s character. He thinks himself a coward and he struggles with the notion that he’s fated to be this way. He wants to change it. He wants to earn his honor. (His honor was what he told Penny he was “running to” in the boat race. His use of this phrase makes reference to advice given to him by his monk mentor, apparently a friend of the jewelry store lady.) But everything he tries seems, in his mind, to take him right back to where he started. Being with Penny is the prize that will prove to him that he was able to overcome his fate, and this is why she’s so important. But the jewelry store lady seemed to be quite clear in suggesting that nothing can change one’s destiny.

And yet at one point he believed that John saved him so that he could save John, and he summoned the courage to activate the failsafe, certain it would kill him if he did. And at another point he saved Charlie even though he was certain it would cause him never to see Penny again.

So, I conclude that, as a character, Desmond is supposed to learn how to let go of these notions of fate and inevitability and, rather, learn to live in the moment, making choices with confidence and courage and the certain knowledge that those choices make a difference.

So what happened with his last flashes in regard to Charlie? Here’s what I propose if we are to suppose that they advanced the evolution of Desmond’s character.

What Desmond really learned from the flashes was that contact would be made with Penny. He also learned that Charlie was the only person who would be able to make that happen (as we saw was true with the “musical solution” to turning off the jamming device). Desmond knew the station wasn’t flooded. And yet he did see a flash of Charlie dead, floating in the water. But I think he might also have seen a flash of Charlie on the beach while terrible things were going on there. Death. Destruction. Things that had never happened before, and nor did they seem about to happen, so that they could only represent events taking place after the Looking Glass mission was over (perhaps indicating a future where Charlie didn’t go to the Looking Glass OR one where he survived the mission). One thing that Desmond definitely didn’t see, however, was anyone being rescued.

At first he told Charlie he didn’t have any flashes, but this wasn’t just a casual lie. He didn’t know what to make of them yet. Like his previous flashes, they were contradictory.

But eventually he decided that he’d just have to make up his own mind in terms of what the flashes meant. He concluded that contacting Penny would have to equal rescue. But, also, he decided that the timeline where Charlie survived was one where Penny wasn’t contacted, and as a result terrible things would befall the crash survivors. In some ways, this was just like with his previous flashes, but with those flashes he’d feared that disturbing the timeline would only sacrifice Penny. Desmond decided that, this time, disturbing the timeline would put everyone in jeopardy. (Thus, Desmond’s evolution in understanding the flashes and in coping with them takes a step forward.)

So he made up the story about Claire and Aaron being rescued, because he knew it would ensure that Charlie would accept the mission. On the road that proves that one is courageous, Desmond had passed the test in being able to sacrifice himself (the failsafe). He had passed the test in being able to sacrifice what he wanted more than anything in the world (saving Charlie when they were out to find the parachutist). Now he would have to pass the test of sacrificing someone else’s life for the greater good (just as the jewelry store lady allowed the man in the red shoes to die for the greater purpose of the cosmos). The choice WAS his, because the flashes clearly showed that Charlie could die or not, and since only Desmond realized this, only he could decide which would happen. The key was for him to do what classic oracles do… tell the proper person just the thing he needs to hear, whether or not it’s perfectly true.

Desmond knew, then, that he would find refuge in the Looking Glass when he dove into the water to escape Mikhail’s sniping. And Charlie might have thought to escape the room he was in and seal the door shut from the outside if he hadn’t become convinced that dying was the only way to save Claire and Aaron. What convinced him? Well, with the revelation from Penny, suddenly it was uncertain if Naomi’s folks were actually there to rescue anyone. But he believed that Desmond DID see Claire and Aaron rescued. And he believed Desmond DID see him die. And Desmond HAD told him that if anything was changed in the flashes, then some of them might not happen. So at that moment sacrificing himself seemed to Charlie like the only guarantee of Claire and Aaron being rescued.

And when Charlie told Desmond that the rescue boat wasn’t Penny’s, Desmond realized his terrible error. Charlie didn’t have to die. The terrible things Desmond foresaw coming to the beach were still coming… and it was because of what he and Charlie accomplished in the Looking Glass.

As often happens in the show, when someone finally steps up to his or her power to make choices there is a test. John’s reward, for example, for totally throwing himself into the “Man of Faith” camp has only been test after test after test, some of which he has failed spectacularly. And now, Desmond finally tries to take command of his “flashes” rather than being a slave to them. In a sense he accepts his mantle as an “oracle” and fills in the blanks himself, determined to use his gift for the benefit of everyone on the beach. He calls upon the courage and spirit of sacrifice he’s already developed, sending Charlie to the slaughter not to satisfy his own selfish wants, but for the greater good of the community. And in return he’s going to learn he overreached his confidence and lead Charlie to a pointless death (practically a suicide) while at the same time dooming all of his new friends. The point in all of this for the development of Desmond’s character is… will he allow all of this to cause him to take an enormous step backward? Or will he find some way to learn from his error, regroup, and actually grow from the experience (in a similar manner that we might supposed John responded to his being wrong about the Swan Station)?

Of course… I could be totally wrong about all of this. But it seems to me that this way of looking at things plugs a few bothersome holes in the last two episodes of season 3.

Is it all about Aaron?

The work of Carl Jung seems to address much of what goes on in Lost. Of particular significance is the concept of synchronicity, or “meaningful coincidences”. With this concept is introduced the idea that events that seem unrelated on the surface are actually conspiring, in a way, to bring about some future event that the earlier events presage.

The key to understanding Lost, then, is in understanding what this future event is. Odd coincidences are responsible for bringing our crash survivors to the island… indeed, they are responsible even for allowing anyone to survive the crash. But according to synchronicity, these coincidences aren’t odd at all. They occur for a reason, such that everyone who survived the crash is to serve a very specific purpose in relation to that reason. Of course, John has made this claim since the very first season. And I think we, the viewers, are supposed to understand that he was correct on this score.

Everyone on the island is beholden to some future event that, when revealed, will make everything that has happened until that event make perfect sense.

I propose that Aaron has something to do with this event.

As far as I can recall, Aaron is the only character about which there is some prognostication relating to the distant future. Nothing else in the show thus far has made reference to the distant future or offered any prophecies of significance outside of the psychic’s predictions regarding Aaron and the absolute necessity of Claire being his caregiver. Also, only John and Aaron have been specifically mentioned in visions (to Eko and Charlie respectively) as people who need help and/or salvation. In Aaron’s case, the medium of his salvation may have been baptism. (This could suggest some kind of messianic role for Aaron or it could just mean that it was important for Claire to make some gesture that suggested dedicating Aaron to a higher principle or power.)

Until some other element is introduced into the story that pertains to the distant future, I think Aaron is the best candidate for “why they’re all there”. The fact that Aaron is a nephew to Jack’s “Moses” figure (the phrase “he walked among them but was not one of them” has been applied to Moses and Naomi referred to Jack as Moses) I think only adds credence to this idea.

I feel compelled to note here that Hurley seems to be the person to have set apocalyptic events into motion by playing “the numbers” in the lottery. (I think jazprof was the first to suggest this notion.) So Hurley’s role, then, is somewhat like a harbinger… the one who announces, paves the way, opens the door for the big event. So in that sense Hurley is responsible for all of them being there. But, in my view, even Hurley is only playing his part in Aaron’s overall drama.

Another Lost Scenario

"How hard would it really be to fake the finding of 815’s wreckage?"

Reminds me of the film, "Millenium" which I'm sure you've seen. Any thoughts of whether this could be a plot device for "Lost?"

Re: Another Lost Scenario

Yep, I've seen it.  This kind of twist isn't out of the question, I don't think.  But it wouldn't be terribly original.  So far I have a hard time seeing how time travel or alternate realities have really been strongly suggested in the show, though these types of theories appear to be very popular right now.  I guess we'll all see eventually! Smile